Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2883.996045 3118.568791 3356.356439 3615.129865 3888.478937 4168.316962 4476.126218
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2537.619776 2889.647779 3259.848133 3676.945531 4132.551198 4613.882635 5159.587102
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2261.585424 2679.072444 3130.451792 3652.224455 4236.171857 4867.039975 5597.542977
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2114.392839 2587.117151 3109.853919 3726.622192 4430.192035 5203.589620 6113.726006
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1964.977834 2476.574489 3053.973892 3747.850067 4552.850310 5451.249244 6523.360966
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1828.560167 2369.231770 2991.105212 3751.073110 4646.306759 5659.041415 6882.658305
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1649.860581 2199.567017 2844.214605 3645.510989 4603.961327 5702.876935 7046.881144
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1606.970264 2190.393911 2884.897583 3759.430813 4817.631458 6043.194306 7555.722699
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1549.018076 2158.087130 2893.843306 3832.074148 4980.060503 6322.484536 7993.564240
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1461.289393 2083.049834 2845.712143 3830.984863 5050.344481 6490.261256 8298.354668
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1369.211606 1997.374518 2779.781634 3803.687284 5085.141810 6612.927118 8547.616524
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1312.313955 1954.255844 2764.774625 3837.582263 5193.447959 6823.417217 8902.589717
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1240.326913 1888.965872 2720.081990 3833.633551 5255.738042 6980.409608 9197.302408
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1201.657797 1866.598650 2729.655719 3898.299882 5404.235085 7244.363720 9625.165524
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1129.758247 1795.121047 2671.508416 3872.478230 5435.757338 7362.054994 9872.482185
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1103.106306 1784.844170 2693.365483 3950.183990 5599.156253 7644.392989 10324.875272
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1057.561328 1745.604029 2674.334901 3972.352596 5689.982319 7835.402509 10664.159480
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1008.219261 1698.527571 2642.556323 3975.718349 5755.065241 7993.253973 10962.068318
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 922.730734 1594.862262 2529.103520 3865.465406 5667.962820 7954.788778 11010.255762
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 919.301377 1612.182605 2584.134707 3984.445970 5884.288765 8306.072314 11554.847542
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 902.043191 1607.782050 2607.914028 4060.295650 6043.519971 8584.768022 12008.762016
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 861.369194 1565.973678 2576.936775 4059.158403 6098.836054 8728.703178 12290.617997
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 814.653915 1512.729488 2527.601778 4030.657730 6115.852183 8821.899013 12506.918748